Today's post is a special message to my
Martian readers.
No, you probably don't know who you are. But I'm
willing to bet that at least one of you, reading this blog right now,
will end up being among the first humans to spend time on the surface
of Mars -- in other words, you are going to be one of the first
Martians. At least, unless you want to count the microbes that I
suspect are probably already living there. But I'll come back to
that.
Current plans call for US astronauts to return to the moon
about a decade from now -- about 50 years after the first human
landings there, and about 45 years from the last time human feet
walked there. China hopes to send its first astronauts (they call
them "Taikonauts") to the moon somewhere around the same
time. The European Space Agency, Japan, and others have talked about
going there too.
And then, after people gain a bit more experience
in staying alive a very long way from home, Mars is clearly the next
destination people will be hankering for. In fact, some of us have
had that hankering for a long time now.
So, maybe about 20 years
from now -- maybe sooner, if people really start trying, maybe later
if there are some setbacks -- the first humans will arrive on Mars.
They'll probably stay for a few months, maybe even a year or two. And
then there will be more. By 30 or 40 years from now, I'd be surprised
if there isn't some kind of a permanently inhabited outpost there.
No, I'm not talking colonies -- for a long time, it will be more like
the research stations in Antarctica, I suspect, although in the
longer term Mars has much better prospects than Antarctica, in fact
than anyplace else in the solar system, to sustain self-supporting
colonies.
So, people who are probably in college right now -- in
other words, the people for whom I'm writing this blog -- will be
among that first group of astronauts who make the initial landings on
Mars, and somebody who is in college right now may well be among the
very first permanent settlers there. Maybe it's you!
That's what I hope. And I hope that this blog, over the coming days, months and
years, will be a valuable tool to help get you there. I aim to make
this a useful resource full of tips about opportunities for doing
research, field work and hands-on projects that will help to lay the
groundwork for future space exploration -- and that will add the kind
of cutting-edge work experiences to your resume that may help to get
you into the astronaut corps, off into space, and on to other
worlds.
So why do I keep talking about Mars all the time? No, it's
not the only interesting place out there. I'm fascinated by the
prospects for exploring Jupiter's moon Europa, which has a vast,
global frozen-over ocean of liquid water, and quite possibly will
turn out to be the first place where we will discover proof of an
independently-evolved form of life -- which will be perhaps the most
epochal discovery in the history of human science. I'm very
interested in Saturn's moon Titan, the only other place in the solar
system that presently has a cycle of evaporation and precipitation,
with rivers and lakes on its surface (even if they are made of
petrochemicals). And I know that landing on, exploring, and
harnessing the resources of an asteroid may be the most practical
near-term exploration goal for many reasons. But still, there's just
noplace like Mars.
In a nutshell, it's the one place where humans
stand a chance, perhaps within our lifetimes, of really setting up
housekeeping. It has soil that can grow crops, air that could be
concentrated and enhanced inside inflatable structures to support
people, and abundant supplies of frozen water -- maybe even liquid
water not far underground -- that can be harnessed for drinking, and
split to make oxygen to breathe and hydrogen for fuel. In short, it's
the only place where we stand a realistic shot at establishing
something approaching self-sufficiency. It's almost certain to be the
first real home-away-from-home for us inhabitants of Earth.
But
let's get back to those microbes for a minute. Bugs on Mars are, in a
way, one of the most compelling reasons for going there -- a place
where we may learn things about the nature and history of life that
we couldn't find anywhere else. But, if they exist, they are also the
one thing that might seriously slow down our human exploration of the
red planet.
I'm pretty sure microbes do live there, and that's a
topic I've written about many times, and will continue to offer my
thoughts on, including in this space (some examples here, here and here). In a nutshell: The Viking
life-detection experiments in 1976 produced a series of results that
met the criteria that all the scientists had agreed on as indicating
a positive detection. Although many of the scientists on the team
doubted that interpretation, and insisted the data were indicating
some kind of exotic chemical reaction instead, the guy who actually
designed and built the experiment that produced the most dramatic and
compelling results, the Labeled Release (LR) test, Dr. Gilbert Levin,
is quite convinced that the LR test really did provide strong
evidence for the existence of living microbes on Mars right now.
And I think he's very likely right
about that.
But it may take some time before it
gets proved, one way or the other. There are no life detection tests
on Phoenix, which is scraping away there now, or on any upcoming Mars
mission in the next few years. But Phoenix does have a shot at
completely demolishing the argument that the skeptics on the Viking
team made to explain why the LR results shouldn't be seen as evidence
for life.
The argument was that a separate
instrument on Viking failed to detect any organic molecules. And no
organics, no life. Case closed.
Except – recent tests have shown the
Viking instrument could actually have missed huge amounts of organic
material. And now, for the first time, we have a chance to find out.
Maybe within the next few days, Phoenix could start detecting
organics in the ice and frozen soil of Mars' polar region. And if it
turns out there really are organics there, that throws the Viking
results into a whole new light. Maybe we really did discover alien
life 32 years ago, and it's just taking a while for people to accept
it.
I can hardly wait to see those new
results, and of course Levin is watching with great interest and
anticipation.
So, why did I say that Martian life
might slow down our exploration? Well, if there really are living
microbes there now, that will become one of the most important
subjects imaginable for biological research. If they turn out to be
close relatives, made from regular DNA, as I suspect is the case –
rocks have been hurtling back and forth between the Earth and Mars
for billions of years, and it would be sort of surprising if there
hadn't been some cross-fertilization – then they may reveal
important clues about our own origins. And if they're not related,
then they could teach us fundamentally new things about the nature of
life, and what is essential and what variations are possible.
So, the last thing we'd want to do is
contaminate the whole planet and screw up that research. Any human
missions would likely be delayed, or minimized, because it's
virtually impossible to design vehicles and spacesuits that wouldn't
spread bits of terrestrial biology in just the places where we'd want
to be looking for the alien bits. It would slow things down, but it
wouldn't stop us. I'm convinced that, in the long run, the human
settlement of Mars is absolutely inevitable.
And you, reading this now, may be one
of the first people to do it. A member of the first generation of
sentient, tool-building, world-changing Martians. I certainly hope
so. And I hope I can help in some small ways to get you there, by
providing information, tips, and maybe a bit of inspiration.
When you get to Mars, maybe I'll be
standing there next to you. I hope so. But if not, I hope you'll
remember me and give me an interplanetary call. I'll be waiting.
Good luck to you, my future-Martian
readers!
(Photos: College students in the
Atacama desert, Chile, one of the most Mars-like places on Earth,
doing research with a team of NASA scientists to help develop and
interpret life-detection tests for Mars. Photos by me, David L.
Chandler, copyright 2006)
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