Floating Cities?

July 18, 2008

Floatingcity If you want to have some disturbing dreams tonight, check out this YouTube video. And I’m not just talking about the Eighties retro theme music by those mullet-coiffed lite-metal gods Night Ranger

No, what I’m obsessing about is the potential impact of coastal flooding from rising sea levels due to global warming. (By the way, for the handful of you climate-change skeptics out there who may get the urge to flood my email box with angry, hyper-detailed refutations, please instead refer to blogger Coby Beck’s excellent FAQ on the subject.) The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is pretty worried about the effects of rising sea levels on U.S. coastal areas, as this online briefing paper details. But other nations ought to be even more worried. Take a look at this 2007 report with the ominous title, "Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate Extremes: Exposure Estimates," by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.  Here’s the upshot:

By the 2070s, total population exposed could grow more than threefold to around 150 million people due to the combined effects of climate change (sea-level rise and increased storminess), subsidence, population growth and urbanization. The asset exposure could grow even more dramatically, reaching US $35,000 billion by the 2070s; more than ten times current levels and rising to roughly 9% of projected global GDP in this period. On a global-scale, for both types of exposure, population growth, socio-economic growth and urbanization are the most important drivers of the overall increase in exposure. Climate change and subsidence significantly exacerbate this effect although the relative importance of these factors varies by location. Exposure rises most rapidly in developing countries, as development moves increasingly into areas of high and rising flood risk.

Indeed, the top two coastal metropolises on the endangered list are Calcutta and Mumbai in India, and of the remainder of the top 10, eight are also Asian cities. (Miami, Fla., in the U.S., which ranked ninth, was the only city from a developed nation on the list.)

So what are we to do? Obviously, as I’ve written in a previous blog, finding a way to dramatically slow the rate of climate change would be the best answer. But if we can’t accomplish that, we’d better find a way to protect the 40 percent of the world’s population who now live in coastal areas. We could try to relocate them to higher and drier places, or build a whole lot of seawalls like the one that protected the Indian city of Puducherry from 24-foot high tsunami waves in 2004.

Or we could get a little creative. Instead of fleeing from rising sea levels, why not  simply float above them? Belgian architect-visionary Vincent Callebaut recently unveiled his design for Lilypad: A Floating Ecopolis, a floating offshore community that from the air would look like, well, a species of giant water lily native to the Amazonian basin. (In trendy eco-circles, that’s what is known as biomimicry.) But this lily would be 250 times larger and have a skin of polyester fibers covered by titanium dioxide, which he says would act as a photocatalyst, absorbing pollution from the atmosphere. (From science blogger David Houle, here’s an explanation of how that works.)

It is a true amphibian half aquatic and half terrestrial city, able to accommodate 50,000 inhabitants and inviting the biodiversity to develop its fauna and flora around a central lagoon of soft water collecting and purifying the rain waters. This artificial lagoon is entirely immersed thus ballasting the city. It enables ... [life] in the heart of the subaquatic depths. The multifunctional programming is based on three marinas and three mountains dedicated respectively to the work, the shops and the entertainments. The whole set is covered by a stratum of planted housing in suspended gardens and crossed by a network of streets and alleyways with organic outline. The goal is to create a harmonious coexistence of the couple Human / Nature and to explore new modes of living [in] the sea by building with fluidity collective spaces in proximity, overwhelming spaces of social inclusion suitable to the meeting of all the inhabitants — denizen or foreign-born, recent or old, young or aged people.

Beyond that, each Lilypad city would, at least in theory, not only generate more energy than it would use from solar, wind, wave-energy and other sources, but also grow its own food, produce its own drinking water and totally recycle its wastes, giving it not only a zero carbon footprint but no environmental footprint whatsoever.

Of course, this isn’t the first time that someone has dreamed up the idea of floating cities (from WebUrbanist, here’s an assortment of other aquatic Xanadus, including Buckminster Fuller’s circa-1960s Triton City, which he claimed that President Johnson actually contemplated building in the Chesapeake Bay.) The idea obviously has enduring appeal. 

But would it work? Would Lilypads be economically feasible to build? (Callebaut noticeably doesn’t make any prediction about the cost.) How would such giant floating structures fare during hurricanes or earthquake-generated tsunamis? And perhaps most important, how many people would want to live in a self-contained aquatic community?

Offer your opinion below.

Photo: Courtesy of Vincent Callebaut Architectures 


About Patrick J. Kiger, Science Writer. Patrick J. Kiger has written from print publications ranging from GQ to the Los Angeles Times, and is a longtime contributor to Discovery.com, HowStuffWorks, and other web sites.

For several years, he wrote the Science Channel's "Is This a Good Idea?" blog, and we are proud to have him back! He's also the author of Science Channel's Story of the Week Feature and Creator of Head Rush Science Experiments for Kids.

Patrick is also the co-author, with Martin J. Smith, of Poplorica: A Popular History of the Fads, Mavericks, Inventions, and Lore that Shaped Modern America HarperResource, 2004), and Oops: 20 Life Lessons from the Fiascoes That Shaped America (Collins, 2006). Both are now available on Kindle.

You can see more of his work at www.patrickjkiger.com


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